Hermosillo Padel Market — Supply, Demand & Competition

As of November 2026, Padelnomics counts 7 padel clubs in Hermosillo, Mexico, or 6.2 padel courts per 100,000 residents, in a city of about 812,000 residents. Its Padelnomics Score, our rating of the opportunity for a new club, is 98 out of 100. Source: Padelnomics, from booking platforms, public map data and official population statistics.

Venues
7
Courts/100K
6.2
Population
812K
padelnomics Score
98/100
Key takeaway: Hermosillo is an underserved market with strong potential. At 6.2 courts per 100K residents, the padelnomics Score of 98/100 points to meaningful supply gaps.

Hermosillo currently has 7 padel venues with 50 courts serving 812K residents. The padelnomics Score of 98/100 captures the city's investment potential in a single metric. This analysis breaks down how supply, demand, and competition interact in Hermosillo.

Supply Analysis

Hermosillo has 7 venues and 50 courts — translating to 0.9 venues and 6.2 courts per 100K residents.

Venue density is low: Hermosillo is an underserved market. This means first-mover advantages and less direct competition, though demand data is less validated.

Metric Value
Venues 7
Courts 50
Venues per 100K residents 0.9
Courts per 100K residents 6.2
Nearest padel court 2.8 km
Data confidence 100%

Demand Signals

The true strength of padel demand in Hermosillo only surfaces in live booking and occupancy data — which venues run hot at which prices, where the market pays a meaningful peak premium, and which slots are structurally empty. These live indicators — median occupancy across all tracked venues, peak/off-peak price spreads, and how both shift month over month — are part of Padelnomics Research. On the public surface the padelnomics Score of 98/100 is the compact read on the demand–supply balance.

Competition Landscape

Within about 15 km of Hermosillo, there are 7 padel venues with 50 courts serving a catchment population of 814K (0.9 venues / 6.1 courts per 100K).

The catchment area is thinly served. Players have few options, which increases the reach of new venues and reduces competitive intensity.

Tennis infrastructure as a signal: There are 30 tennis courts within 25 km. Solid tennis infrastructure points to a sports-oriented population — good conditions for padel growth.

Revenue Potential

Revenue potential for a padel facility in Hermosillo sits directly on the realised hourly rates and the booked occupancy across the year — figures that come from live market data, not assumptions. Per-court revenue estimates, comparison benchmarks against nearby venues, and the sensitivity to price and occupancy swings are part of Padelnomics Research. For a financial model with your own assumptions — court count, build costs, pricing strategy, occupancy scenarios — use the financial planner.

Related Analyses

FAQ

How big is the padel market in Hermosillo?

Hermosillo has 7 padel venues with 50 courts serving 812K residents. That translates to 6.2 courts per 100,000 people. Within the catchment area of about 15 km, there are 7 venues with 50 courts.

How competitive is the padel market in Hermosillo?

Low competition: only 0.9 venues per 100K residents. The market is underserved, offering first-mover advantages.

What is the revenue potential for a padel facility in Hermosillo?

Revenue potential per court in Hermosillo sits on current hourly rates and booked occupancy. Concrete estimates with market benchmarks are part of Padelnomics Research; use the financial planner to model your own assumptions for price, occupancy, and court count.

What are padel court prices in Hermosillo?

Padel court prices in Hermosillo vary between indoor and outdoor facilities and between peak and off-peak hours. City- and venue-level pricing benchmarks — median peak and off-peak rates, P25–P75 spreads — are part of Padelnomics Research.

Is Hermosillo still a good market for new padel facilities?

With a padelnomics Score of 98/100, Hermosillo is among the most promising locations. Meaningful supply gaps and strong demand support new facilities. Model your scenario in the financial planner.

Use Hermosillo market data in your business plan → Open the Planner

See also: Hermosillo investment analysis · Hermosillo court prices · Mexico market overview